Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Savoia vs Messina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Savoia v Messina in the Serie D Girone I, played at Stadio Alfredo Giraud.
Current form
Savoia, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ragusa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Messina, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gelbison, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Savoia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Messina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Savoia 1.5 xG, Messina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Savoia 53%, draw 26%, Messina 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Savoia 1–0 Messina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Savoia53%fair 1.87 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Messina21%fair 4.81 · @5.00
2.36Expected goals
1.46Savoia xG
0.90Messina xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Savoia 1.5 – 0.9 Messina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Savoia to win✓
53%
1.87
1.60
Double chance
Savoia or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Savoia (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Messina +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Savoia to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Savoia / FT Savoia✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.28
–
Recent results
Savoia – last 6
WLDWDW
29 Mar
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Milazzo
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Vibonese
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Nissa
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CastrumFavara
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Messina – last 6
LDLDLD
29 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Vibonese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Reggina
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Savoia and Messina.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Savoia vs Messina?
On our numbers Savoia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Messina 21%.
How many goals will there be in Savoia vs Messina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Savoia vs Messina?
Our predicted score is Savoia 1–0 Messina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Savoia vs Messina?
Savoia vs Messina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alfredo Giraud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sambiase3
Paternò1
Vibonese0
Sancataldese2