Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultMessina to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Vigor Lamezia vs Messina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Vigor Lamezia v Messina in the Serie D Girone I, played at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Current form
Vigor Lamezia, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Milazzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Messina, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Savoia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vigor Lamezia, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Messina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vigor Lamezia 1.1 xG, Messina 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vigor Lamezia 34%, draw 26%, Messina 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vigor Lamezia 1–1 Messina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vigor Lamezia34%fair 2.97 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Messina40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
2.29Expected goals
1.08Vigor Lamezia xG
1.21Messina xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Vigor Lamezia 1.1 – 1.2 Messina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Messina to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Messina (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Vigor Lamezia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Messina to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Messina / FT Messina✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.14
–
Recent results
Vigor Lamezia – last 6
DLDLWL
15 Apr
@ Milazzo
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Vibonese
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Ragusa
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CastrumFavara
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Reggina
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nissa
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Messina – last 6
LLDLDL
2 Apr
@ Savoia
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Vibonese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Lamezia and Messina.
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
On our numbers Vigor Lamezia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Messina 40%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
Our predicted score is Vigor Lamezia 1–1 Messina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vigor Lamezia vs Messina?
Vigor Lamezia vs Messina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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