Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Sambiase to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNissa to win ✗43% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Sambiase vs Nissa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sambiase welcome Nissa to Stadio Guido D'Ippolito for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 26 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Sambiase are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 11 matches; Nissa are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sambiase, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Milazzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nissa, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Enna, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sambiase 1.2 xG, Nissa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sambiase 31%, draw 27%, Nissa 43%.
Price worth noting: Sambiase to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sambiase 1–1 Nissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sambiase31%fair 3.27 · @3.75
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Nissa43%fair 2.33 · @1.91
2.28Expected goals
1.15Sambiase xG
1.12Nissa xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sambiase 1.2 – 1.1 Nissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nissa to win✗
43%
2.33
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Nissa (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Nissa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sambiase to score first
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.66
–
Recent results
Sambiase – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Apr
@ Milazzo
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Paternò
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Acireale
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Gela
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Sancataldese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Messina
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nissa – last 6
WWWWWD
19 Apr
vs Enna
3–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gela
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sancataldese
5–1
W
22 Mar
vs AC Palermo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Messina
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Savoia
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambiase and Nissa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sambiase vs Nissa?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nissa 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Nissa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Nissa?
Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–1 Nissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sambiase vs Nissa?
Sambiase vs Nissa (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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