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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm v Ironi Baka El Garbiya: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 36%Draw 26%Ironi Baka El Garbiya 38% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.39
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultIroni Baka El Garbiya to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm welcome Ironi Baka El Garbiya for a Liga Alef fixture on Friday 13 February (11:45 WAT). In the table, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm are 10th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1.4 xG, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 36%, draw 26%, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm36%fair 2.80 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Ironi Baka El Garbiya38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
2.75Expected goals
1.36Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG
1.39Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%

From our goals model: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1.4 – 1.4 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIroni Baka El Garbiya to win ✗38%2.612.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.73
Draw no betIroni Baka El Garbiya (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapTzeirei Umm al-Fahm +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreIroni Baka El Garbiya to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.91–

Recent results

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

No recent results on record.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth211533+2748
2Tira221336+1942
3Maccabi K. Ata Bialik221084+1438
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066+536
5Hapoel Ironi Karmiel22967+733
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966033
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886+132
8Hapoel Migdal HaEmek22877+631
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949+331
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868+430
11Ironi Nesher22859-929
12Tzeirey Tamra227312-1524
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611-921
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed214512-2017
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315-2612
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511-711

More Liga Alef predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

On our numbers Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 38%.

How many goals will there be in Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Our predicted score is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.