Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:40 WAT, Friday 20 February: Ironi Baka El Garbiya v Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Liga Alef. In the table, Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are 1st (leading the league) with 48. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.5 xG, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Baka El Garbiya 34%, draw 23%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ironi Baka El Garbiya34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
3.17Expected goals
1.52Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
1.64Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.5 – 1.6 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to win✓
42%
2.36
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.68
Draw no bet
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Baka El Garbiya +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Ahi Nazareth / FT Maccabi Ahi Nazareth✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 11:40 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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