Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Ironi Nesher to win @ 2.70 – our chance 52% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIroni Nesher to win ✗52% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ironi Nesher welcome Ironi Baka El Garbiya for a Liga Alef fixture on Friday 27 February (12:30 WAT). In the table, Ironi Nesher are 11th, lower half, on 29 points after 22 matches; Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th (lower half) with 31. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Nesher 2.4 xG, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Nesher 52%, draw 19%, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Ironi Nesher to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Nesher 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ironi Nesher52%fair 1.94 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.40
Ironi Baka El Garbiya29%fair 3.45 · @2.20
3.75Expected goals
2.44Ironi Nesher xG
1.31Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Ironi Nesher 2.4 – 1.3 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ironi Nesher to win✗
52%
1.94
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Ironi Nesher (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Ironi Nesher -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
First team to score
Ironi Nesher to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Ironi Nesher ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ironi Nesher / FT Ironi Nesher✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Ironi Nesher – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Nesher and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Ironi Nesher have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Ironi Nesher 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Marmorek1
Maccabi Ashdod1