Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultGavilanes FC Matamoros to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceGavilanes FC Matamoros or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Liga Premier Serie A brings Gavilanes FC Matamoros against Lobos ULMX at Estadio El Hogar. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.5 xG, Lobos ULMX 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gavilanes FC Matamoros 57%, draw 24%, Lobos ULMX 19%.
Lower-risk option: Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavilanes FC Matamoros 2–0 Lobos ULMX. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gavilanes FC Matamoros57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Lobos ULMX19%fair 5.26 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.48Gavilanes FC Matamoros xG
0.71Lobos ULMX xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.5 – 0.7 Lobos ULMX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win✓
57%
1.76
1.85
Double chance
Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Gavilanes FC Matamoros (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Lobos ULMX +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Gavilanes FC Matamoros to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavilanes FC Matamoros / FT Gavilanes FC Matamoros✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Gavilanes FC Matamoros – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Correcaminos UAT II
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lobos ULMX – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavilanes FC Matamoros and Lobos ULMX.
What is the prediction for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
On our numbers Gavilanes FC Matamoros have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lobos ULMX 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
Our predicted score is Gavilanes FC Matamoros 2–0 Lobos ULMX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX?
Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Hogar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
