Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMontañeses to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Tapachula vs Montañeses: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tapachula welcome Montañeses to Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Tuesday 10 March (03:05 WAT).
Current form
Montañeses, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportiva Venados, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapachula 1.6 xG, Montañeses 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapachula 34%, draw 23%, Montañeses 43%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapachula 1–1 Montañeses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapachula34%fair 2.95 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
Montañeses43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
3.32Expected goals
1.55Tapachula xG
1.77Montañeses xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.6 – 1.8 Montañeses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañeses to win✗
43%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Draw no bet
Montañeses (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Tapachula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Montañeses to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañeses / FT Montañeses✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Tapachula
No recent results on record.
Montañeses – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Deportiva Venados
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Neza
5–0
W
15 Feb
vs Mexicali FC
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Montañeses.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tapachula vs Montañeses?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montañeses 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Montañeses?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 1–1 Montañeses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Tapachula vs Montañeses (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 03:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
