Montañeses vs Celaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celaya travel to face Montañeses on Sunday 29 March in the Liga Premier Serie A, with Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Montañeses, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Racing de Veracruz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Celaya, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inter Playa del Carmen, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montañeses 1.4 xG, Celaya 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montañeses 36%, draw 24%, Celaya 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montañeses 1–1 Celaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montañeses36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Celaya40%fair 2.48 · @2.35
2.91Expected goals
1.38Montañeses xG
1.53Celaya xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Montañeses 1.4 – 1.5 Celaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✗
40%
2.48
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Celaya (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Montañeses +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Celaya to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Montañeses – last 5
LLDWW
15 Mar
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–3
L
10 Mar
@ Tapachula
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Deportiva Venados
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Neza
5–0
W
15 Feb
vs Mexicali FC
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Celaya – last 3
DWL
22 Mar
vs Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Chapulineros
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montañeses and Celaya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montañeses vs Celaya?
On our numbers Montañeses have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celaya 40%.
How many goals will there be in Montañeses vs Celaya?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montañeses vs Celaya?
Our predicted score is Montañeses 1–1 Celaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Montañeses vs Celaya?
Montañeses vs Celaya (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Sociedad Cuauhtemoc Moctezuma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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