Value bet: Polvorín to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCoruña to win39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.71
Coruña vs Polvorín: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coruña welcome Polvorín to Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 15 February (12:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coruña 1.2 xG, Polvorín 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coruña 39%, draw 27%, Polvorín 35%.
Price worth noting: Polvorín to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coruña 1–1 Polvorín. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coruña39%fair 2.58 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.95
Polvorín35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.46Expected goals
1.21Coruña xG
1.25Polvorín xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Coruña 1.2 – 1.3 Polvorín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruña to win
39%
2.58
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Coruña (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Coruña +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Polvorín to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polvorín / FT Polvorín
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.71
–
Recent results
Coruña
No recent results on record.
Polvorín
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruña and Polvorín.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Coruña vs Polvorín?
On our numbers Coruña have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Polvorín 35%.
How many goals will there be in Coruña vs Polvorín?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruña vs Polvorín?
Our predicted score is Coruña 1–1 Polvorín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coruña vs Polvorín?
Coruña vs Polvorín (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal San Pedro de Visma I.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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