Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolvorín to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Polvorín vs Somozas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polvorín welcome Somozas for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 22 February (15:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polvorín 1.2 xG, Somozas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polvorín 39%, draw 28%, Somozas 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polvorín 1–0 Somozas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polvorín39%fair 2.58 · @2.45
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Somozas33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
2.10Expected goals
1.15Polvorín xG
0.95Somozas xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Polvorín 1.2 – 1.0 Somozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polvorín to win✗
39%
2.58
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Polvorín (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Somozas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Polvorín to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polvorín / FT Polvorín✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.13
–
Recent results
Polvorín
No recent results on record.
Somozas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polvorín and Somozas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Polvorín vs Somozas?
On our numbers Polvorín have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Somozas 33%.
How many goals will there be in Polvorín vs Somozas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polvorín vs Somozas?
Our predicted score is Polvorín 1–0 Somozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Polvorín vs Somozas?
Polvorín vs Somozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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