Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Polvorín vs Compostela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 brings Polvorín against Compostela. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polvorín 1.1 xG, Compostela 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polvorín 32%, draw 28%, Compostela 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polvorín 1–1 Compostela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polvorín32%fair 3.09 · @3.00
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.20
Compostela40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
2.31Expected goals
1.10Polvorín xG
1.21Compostela xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Polvorín 1.1 – 1.2 Compostela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✗
40%
2.50
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Compostela (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Polvorín +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Compostela to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.32
–
Recent results
Polvorín – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Somozas
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Compostela – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Silva
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Celtiga
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polvorín and Compostela.
What is the prediction for Polvorín vs Compostela?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Polvorín vs Compostela?
On our numbers Polvorín have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Compostela 40%.
How many goals will there be in Polvorín vs Compostela?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polvorín vs Compostela?
Our predicted score is Polvorín 1–1 Compostela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Polvorín vs Compostela?
Polvorín vs Compostela (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alondras2
Estradense2
Silva1
Boiro1