Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Arosa vs Somozas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arosa welcome Somozas to Estadio A Lomba for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 29 March (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Arosa, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coruña, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Somozas, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético Arteixo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arosa, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Somozas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arosa 1.7 xG, Somozas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arosa 54%, draw 25%, Somozas 21%.
Lower-risk option: Arosa or draw (79%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arosa to win (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arosa 1–0 Somozas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arosa54%fair 1.85 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Somozas21%fair 4.73 · @4.33
2.67Expected goals
1.66Arosa xG
1.00Somozas xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.7 – 1.0 Somozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Double chance
Arosa or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Arosa (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Somozas +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Arosa to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 4
WWDW
22 Mar
@ Coruña
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Somozas – last 4
LWDD
22 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Barbadás
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Polvorín
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Somozas.
Our pick is Arosa to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Arosa vs Somozas?
On our numbers Arosa have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Somozas 21%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Somozas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Somozas?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–0 Somozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Somozas?
Arosa vs Somozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio A Lomba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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