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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barco v Arosa: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros

Barco

WDWWW
0–1
–

Arosa

DDWWW
Barco 37%Draw 25%Arosa 37% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.23
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.60

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarco to win37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.90

Barco vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barco welcome Arosa to Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 19 April (16:30 WAT).

Current form

Barco, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Noia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Arosa, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estradense, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barco 1.4 xG, Arosa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barco 37%, draw 25%, Arosa 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barco 1–1 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barco37%fair 2.67 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Arosa37%fair 2.67 · @2.25
2.62Expected goals
1.39Barco xG
1.23Arosa xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Barco 1.4 – 1.2 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarco to win37%2.672.80
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.89–
Draw no betBarco (draw no bet)50%2.00–
Asian handicapArosa +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.14–
First team to scoreBarco to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barco / FT Barco24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010%9.90–

Recent results

Barco – last 6

WDWWWL
5 Aprvs Noia1–0W
2 Aprvs Silva3–3D
22 Marvs Barbadás2–0W
19 Mar@ Alondras1–0W
15 Marvs Polvorín1–0W
8 Mar@ Celta de Vigo III2–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arosa – last 6

DDWWWD
5 Apr@ Estradense1–1D
2 Aprvs Villalbés1–1D
29 Marvs Somozas1–0W
22 Mar@ Coruña1–0W
18 Marvs Viveiro4–1W
15 Marvs Atlético Arteixo2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barco and Arosa.

Barco vs Arosa head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boiro10721+1023
2Sarriana10532+518
3Silva10523+117
4Barco10442+516
5Atlético Arteixo10442+316
6Portonovo SD10433+315
7Estradense10433015
8Lalin10433-115
9Villalbés10352+114
10Pontevedra II10415+213
11Antela10343-113
12Alondras10334-112
13Somozas10253-111
14Celtiga10253-211
15Arenteiro10316-410
16Coruña10307-99
17Celta de Vigo III10226-58
18Viveiro10226-68

More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barco vs Arosa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Barco vs Arosa?

On our numbers Barco have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arosa 37%.

How many goals will there be in Barco vs Arosa?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barco vs Arosa?

Our predicted score is Barco 1–1 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Barco vs Arosa?

Barco vs Arosa (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.