Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultCayón to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceCayón or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.60
Selaya vs Cayón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cayón travel to face Selaya on Sunday 22 March in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3, with Estadio El Castañal the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Selaya are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Cayón are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Selaya, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Escobedo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Selaya 0.6 xG, Cayón 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Selaya 16%, draw 26%, Cayón 58%.
Lower-risk option: Cayón or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Selaya 0–1 Cayón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Selaya16%fair 6.38 · @4.10
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.30
Cayón58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
2.19Expected goals
0.60Selaya xG
1.59Cayón xG
39%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Selaya 0.6 – 1.6 Cayón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cayón to win✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Cayón or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Cayón (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Cayón -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Cayón to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cayón / FT Cayón✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.60
–
Recent results
Selaya – last 4
WLLL
8 Mar
vs Escobedo
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vimenor
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Guarnizo
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Tropezón
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Cayón – last 2
LL
15 Mar
vs Laredo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Torina
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Selaya and Cayón.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Selaya vs Cayón?
On our numbers Selaya have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cayón 58%.
How many goals will there be in Selaya vs Cayón?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Selaya vs Cayón?
Our predicted score is Selaya 0–1 Cayón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Selaya vs Cayón?
Selaya vs Cayón (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Castañal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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