Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Castro vs Selaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castro welcome Selaya to Campo Riomar for a Tercera División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 29 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Castro are 12th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Selaya are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Castro, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bezana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Selaya, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cayón, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Castro, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.6 for Selaya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castro 1.6 xG, Selaya 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castro 57%, draw 26%, Selaya 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castro 1–0 Selaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castro57%fair 1.77 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Selaya18%fair 5.66 · @5.00
2.42Expected goals
1.58Castro xG
0.84Selaya xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Castro 1.6 – 0.8 Selaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castro to win✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Double chance
Castro or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Castro (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Selaya +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Castro to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castro / FT Castro✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.14
–
Recent results
Castro – last 5
DWLWL
15 Mar
vs Bezana
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Barquereño
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Escobedo
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Noja
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlético Albericia
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Selaya – last 5
LWLLL
22 Mar
vs Cayón
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Escobedo
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vimenor
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Guarnizo
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Tropezón
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castro and Selaya.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Castro vs Selaya?
On our numbers Castro have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Selaya 18%.
How many goals will there be in Castro vs Selaya?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castro vs Selaya?
Our predicted score is Castro 1–0 Selaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Castro vs Selaya?
Castro vs Selaya (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Riomar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colindres2
Noja1