Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Selaya vs Noja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 brings Selaya against Noja at Estadio El Castañal. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Selaya, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Castro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Noja, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Laredo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Selaya, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Noja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Selaya 1.4 xG, Noja 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Selaya 50%, draw 25%, Noja 25%.
Lower-risk option: Selaya or draw (75%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Selaya or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Selaya 1–1 Noja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Selaya50%fair 2.02 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Noja25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
2.37Expected goals
1.36Selaya xG
1.01Noja xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Selaya 1.4 – 1.0 Noja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Selaya to win✓
50%
2.02
1.85
Double chance
Selaya or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Selaya (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Noja +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Selaya to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Selaya / FT Selaya✓
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.88
–
Recent results
Selaya – last 6
LLWLLL
29 Mar
@ Castro
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Cayón
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Escobedo
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vimenor
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Guarnizo
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Tropezón
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Noja – last 6
LLLLLL
29 Mar
vs Laredo
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Torina
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Barquereño
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Atlético Albericia
2–5
L
25 Feb
vs Vimenor
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Castro
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Selaya and Noja.
Our pick is Selaya or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Selaya vs Noja?
On our numbers Selaya have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Noja 25%.
How many goals will there be in Selaya vs Noja?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Selaya vs Noja?
Our predicted score is Selaya 1–1 Noja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Selaya vs Noja?
Selaya vs Noja (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Castañal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
