Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultZamudio to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Zamudio vs Deusto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zamudio welcome Deusto to Estadio Udal Kiroldegia for a Tercera División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 29 March (10:15 WAT).
Current form
Zamudio, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portugalete, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zamudio 1.2 xG, Deusto 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zamudio 41%, draw 23%, Deusto 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zamudio 1–1 Deusto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zamudio41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Deusto36%fair 2.79 · @2.88
2.31Expected goals
1.21Zamudio xG
1.10Deusto xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Zamudio 1.2 – 1.1 Deusto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamudio to win✓
41%
2.42
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Zamudio (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Deusto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Zamudio to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamudio / FT Zamudio✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.32
–
Recent results
Zamudio – last 5
LLLLW
19 Mar
@ Portugalete
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Derio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Touring
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Alavés III
0–5
L
15 Feb
vs Aurrerá Vitoria
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Deusto – last 1
L
15 Mar
@ Real Sociedad III
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamudio and Deusto.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Zamudio vs Deusto?
On our numbers Zamudio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deusto 36%.
How many goals will there be in Zamudio vs Deusto?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamudio vs Deusto?
Our predicted score is Zamudio 1–1 Deusto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zamudio vs Deusto?
Zamudio vs Deusto (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Udal Kiroldegia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
