Badalona 61%Draw 23%Vilassar Mar 17%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.90
61%
Betarazi pick
Badalona to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBadalona to win ✗61% · @1.44
Double chanceBadalona or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Badalona vs Vilassar Mar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Badalona welcome Vilassar Mar to Estadi Municipal de Badalona for a Tercera División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 8 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, Badalona are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Vilassar Mar are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Vilassar Mar, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montañesa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Badalona 1.8 xG, Vilassar Mar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Badalona 61%, draw 23%, Vilassar Mar 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Badalona to win (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Badalona 1–0 Vilassar Mar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Badalona61%fair 1.65 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.75
Vilassar Mar17%fair 6.01 · @6.50
2.65Expected goals
1.75Badalona xG
0.90Vilassar Mar xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Badalona 1.8 – 0.9 Vilassar Mar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Badalona to win✗
61%
1.65
1.44
Double chance
Badalona or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Badalona (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Vilassar Mar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Badalona to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badalona / FT Badalona✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Recent results
Badalona – last 2
WW
1 Mar
@ Mollerussa
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cornellà
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vilassar Mar – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs Montañesa
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Cerdanyola del Vallès
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Peralada
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badalona and Vilassar Mar.
What is the prediction for Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Our pick is Badalona to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
On our numbers Badalona have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vilassar Mar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Our predicted score is Badalona 1–0 Vilassar Mar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Badalona vs Vilassar Mar (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Manresa2