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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Las Rozas v Trival Valderas: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 · Spain · Estadio Navalcarbón
2–3
FT
Las Rozas 50%Draw 24%Trival Valderas 26% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.11
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLas Rozas to win ✗50% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.28

Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Las Rozas v Trival Valderas in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7, played at Estadio Navalcarbón. In the table, Las Rozas are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Trival Valderas are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Las Rozas, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torrejón, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Trival Valderas, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Unión Adarve, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Trival Valderas, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.8 for Las Rozas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Las Rozas 1.6 xG, Trival Valderas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Las Rozas 50%, draw 24%, Trival Valderas 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Rozas 1–1 Trival Valderas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Las Rozas50%fair 1.99 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Trival Valderas26%fair 3.92 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.55Las Rozas xG
1.11Trival Valderas xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Las Rozas 1.6 – 1.1 Trival Valderas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Rozas to win ✗50%1.991.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Draw no betLas Rozas (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapTrival Valderas +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreLas Rozas to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Las Rozas / FT Las Rozas ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.28–

Recent results

Las Rozas – last 5

DWDDW
15 Mar@ Torrejón1–1D
8 Marvs AD Parla3–0W
1 Mar@ Alcorcón II2–2D
22 Febvs Alcobendas Sport1–1D
15 Feb@ Tres Cantos2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Trival Valderas – last 5

WWDWW
15 Marvs Unión Adarve1–0W
8 Mar@ Villaverde-Boetticher2–0W
1 Marvs A Madrid III2–2D
22 Feb@ Villanueva Pardillo2–1W
15 Febvs Pozuelo Alarcón1–0W
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Las Rozas and Trival Valderas.

Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?

On our numbers Las Rozas have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trival Valderas 26%.

How many goals will there be in Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?

Our predicted score is Las Rozas 1–1 Trival Valderas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas?

Las Rozas vs Trival Valderas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Navalcarbón.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.