Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Arandina to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuijuelo to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.69
Arandina vs Guijuelo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guijuelo travel to face Arandina on Sunday 15 February in the Tercera División RFEF Group 8, with Estadio El Montecillo the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Arandina are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Guijuelo are 10th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arandina 1.2 xG, Guijuelo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arandina 30%, draw 27%, Guijuelo 42%.
Price worth noting: Arandina to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arandina 1–1 Guijuelo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arandina30%fair 3.31 · @3.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.75
Guijuelo42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
2.56Expected goals
1.23Arandina xG
1.33Guijuelo xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Arandina 1.2 – 1.3 Guijuelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guijuelo to win✓
42%
2.36
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Guijuelo (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Arandina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Guijuelo to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guijuelo / FT Guijuelo✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.69
–
Recent results
Arandina
No recent results on record.
Guijuelo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arandina and Guijuelo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Arandina vs Guijuelo?
On our numbers Arandina have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guijuelo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Arandina vs Guijuelo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arandina vs Guijuelo?
Our predicted score is Arandina 1–1 Guijuelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arandina vs Guijuelo?
Arandina vs Guijuelo (Tercera División RFEF Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Montecillo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
