La Virgen del Camino 49%Draw 28%Bembibre 23%Expected goals 1.21 – 0.84
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Virgen del Camino to win ✓49% · @1.85
Double chanceLa Virgen del Camino or draw ✓77% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bembibre travel to face La Virgen del Camino on Sunday 5 April in the Tercera División RFEF Group 8, with Campo Los Dominicos the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, La Virgen del Camino are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Bembibre are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
La Virgen del Camino, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Villaralbo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Bembibre, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mojados, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours La Virgen del Camino, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Bembibre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Virgen del Camino 1.2 xG, Bembibre 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Virgen del Camino 49%, draw 28%, Bembibre 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Virgen del Camino 1–1 Bembibre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Virgen del Camino49%fair 2.06 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.85
Bembibre23%fair 4.32 · @4.40
2.05Expected goals
1.21La Virgen del Camino xG
0.84Bembibre xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Virgen del Camino 1.2 – 0.8 Bembibre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Virgen del Camino to win✓
49%
2.06
1.85
Double chance
La Virgen del Camino or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
La Virgen del Camino (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Bembibre +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
La Virgen del Camino to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Virgen del Camino / FT La Virgen del Camino✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.42
–
Recent results
La Virgen del Camino – last 3
WDL
1 Apr
vs Villaralbo
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Unionistas II
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bembibre – last 3
DLD
4 Mar
@ Mojados
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Colegios Diocesanos
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Unionistas II
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Virgen del Camino and Bembibre.
What is the prediction for La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
On our numbers La Virgen del Camino have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bembibre 23%.
How many goals will there be in La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
Our predicted score is La Virgen del Camino 1–1 Bembibre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre?
La Virgen del Camino vs Bembibre (Tercera División RFEF Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Los Dominicos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
