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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Constància v Collerense: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 11 · Spain · Nou Camp de Inca
4–0
FT
Constància 69%Draw 19%Collerense 12% Expected goals 2.08 – 0.71
69%
Betarazi pick

Constància to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultConstància to win ✓69% · @1.25
Double chanceConstància or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.89

Constància vs Collerense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:30 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Constància v Collerense in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11, played at Nou Camp de Inca.

Current form

Constància, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Santanyí, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Collerense, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Son Cladera, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Constància, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Collerense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Constància 2.1 xG, Collerense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Constància 69%, draw 19%, Collerense 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Constància to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Constància 2–0 Collerense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Constància69%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.50
Collerense12%fair 8.17 · @10.80
2.79Expected goals
2.08Constància xG
0.71Collerense xG
43%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Constància 2.1 – 0.7 Collerense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ConstànciaCollerense
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 11 average+17%-9%
Goals conceded vs average-40%+13%
Our expected goals here2.060.68

Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 11 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConstància to win ✓69%1.461.25
Double chanceConstància or draw ✓88%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betConstància (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapConstància -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreConstància to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultConstància ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Constància / FT Constància ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%10.89–

Recent results

Constància – last 4

WLDW
1 Aprvs Santanyí3–0W
4 Mar@ Peña Deportiva1–2L
21 Febvs Mallorca II1–1D
15 Feb@ Felanitx1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Collerense – last 4

LDWL
2 Apr@ Son Cladera2–3L
8 Mar@ Formentera1–1D
4 Marvs Mercadal1–0W
21 Feb@ Llosetense1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Constància and Collerense.

Constància vs Collerense head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 11 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Platges Calvià10802+1424
2Ibiza Islas Pitiusas9630+1221
3Constància10541+1019
4Manacor9531+918
5Porreres10604+518
6PE Sant Jordi9441+616
7Llosetense10514016
8Cardassar10424+414
9Formentera9423+414
10Santanyí9351+414
11Binissalem9414+113
12Alcúdia10406-512
13Andratx10235-59
14Mercadal10235-79
15Sineu10226-108
16Migjorn10127-135
17Inter Ibiza9126-155
18Arenal9117-144

More Tercera División RFEF Group 11 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Constància vs Collerense?

Our pick is Constància to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Constància vs Collerense?

On our numbers Constància have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Collerense 12%.

How many goals will there be in Constància vs Collerense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Constància vs Collerense?

Our predicted score is Constància 2–0 Collerense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Constància vs Collerense?

Constància vs Collerense (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Nou Camp de Inca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.