Value bet: Unión Molinense to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnión Molinense to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mazarrón FC welcome Unión Molinense to Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón for a Tercera División RFEF Group 13 fixture on Sunday 29 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, Mazarrón FC are 18th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 9 matches; Unión Molinense are 6th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Mazarrón FC, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Santomera, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Unión Molinense, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over El Palmar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Unión Molinense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Mazarrón FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mazarrón FC 1.2 xG, Unión Molinense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mazarrón FC 36%, draw 26%, Unión Molinense 38%.
Price worth noting: Unión Molinense to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mazarrón FC 1–1 Unión Molinense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mazarrón FC36%fair 2.77 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Unión Molinense38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
2.52Expected goals
1.18Mazarrón FC xG
1.34Unión Molinense xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mazarrón FC 1.2 – 1.3 Unión Molinense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unión Molinense to win✗
38%
2.62
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Unión Molinense (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Mazarrón FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Unión Molinense to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unión Molinense / FT Unión Molinense✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.28
–
Recent results
Mazarrón FC – last 5
WDDDL
15 Mar
vs Santomera
5–0
W
8 Mar
@ UD Caravaca
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Cieza
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Bala Azul
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Olímpico Totana
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Unión Molinense – last 5
WDWWD
22 Mar
vs El Palmar
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Balsicas Atlético
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Santa Cruz
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santomera
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs UD Caravaca
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mazarrón FC and Unión Molinense.
What is the prediction for Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
On our numbers Mazarrón FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Unión Molinense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
Our predicted score is Mazarrón FC 1–1 Unión Molinense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense?
Mazarrón FC vs Unión Molinense (Tercera División RFEF Group 13) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
