Ardoi v Txantrea Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArdoi to win ✗45% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Ardoi vs Txantrea: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Ardoi v Txantrea in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15, played at Estadio El Pinar 1.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ardoi 1.7 xG, Txantrea 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ardoi 45%, draw 24%, Txantrea 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ardoi 1–1 Txantrea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ardoi45%fair 2.23 · @2.05

Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.45

Txantrea31%fair 3.23 · @2.90

3.01Expected goals

1.69Ardoi xG

1.32Txantrea xG

54%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–27%

2–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: Ardoi 1.7 – 1.3 Txantrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ardoi to win ✗	45%	2.23	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.84	–
Draw no bet	Ardoi (draw no bet)	59%	1.69	–
Asian handicap	Txantrea +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.62	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	–
First team to score	Ardoi to score first	53%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ardoi / FT Ardoi ✗	28%	3.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.77	–

Tercera División RFEF Group 15 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Izarra	10	8	2	0	+22	26
2	Mutilvera	10	6	4	0	+12	22
3	Subiza	10	5	1	4	+4	16
4	Valle Egüés	10	4	4	2	+3	16
5	Beti Kozkor	10	5	1	4	-1	16
6	San Juan	10	4	3	3	+7	15
7	Gazte Berriak	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Avance Ezcabarte	10	4	2	4	+4	14
9	Aoiz	10	3	5	2	+3	14
10	Doneztebe FT	10	3	4	3	+4	13
11	Txantrea	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Cirbonero	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Cantolagua	10	4	0	6	-13	12
14	Beti Onak	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Huarte	10	1	5	4	-8	8
16	Pamplona	10	1	4	5	-8	7
17	Cortes	10	1	3	6	-14	6
18	Bidezarra	10	0	5	5	-10	5

More Tercera División RFEF Group 15 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ardoi vs Txantrea?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ardoi vs Txantrea?

On our numbers Ardoi have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Txantrea 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ardoi vs Txantrea?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ardoi vs Txantrea?

Our predicted score is Ardoi 1–1 Txantrea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ardoi vs Txantrea?

Ardoi vs Txantrea (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Pinar 1.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ardoi v Txantrea: numbers & prediction

Ardoi

Txantrea

Under 3.5 goals