Value bet: Ardoi to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBidezarra to win ✗38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Bidezarra vs Ardoi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bidezarra welcome Ardoi to Campo Bidezarra de Noain for a Tercera División RFEF Group 15 fixture on Friday 20 February (20:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bidezarra 1.2 xG, Ardoi 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bidezarra 38%, draw 26%, Ardoi 37%.
Price worth noting: Ardoi to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bidezarra 1–1 Ardoi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bidezarra38%fair 2.66 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Ardoi37%fair 2.71 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.16Bidezarra xG
1.36Ardoi xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Bidezarra 1.2 – 1.4 Ardoi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bidezarra to win✗
38%
2.66
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Bidezarra (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Bidezarra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ardoi to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ardoi / FT Ardoi✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Bidezarra
No recent results on record.
Ardoi – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidezarra and Ardoi.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
On our numbers Bidezarra have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ardoi 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
Our predicted score is Bidezarra 1–1 Ardoi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bidezarra vs Ardoi?
Bidezarra vs Ardoi (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
