Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Subiza vs Cirbonero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Subiza v Cirbonero in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15, played at Estadio Sotoburu. In the table, Subiza are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 10 matches; Cirbonero are 12th (lower half) with 12.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Subiza 1.6 xG, Cirbonero 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Subiza 56%, draw 24%, Cirbonero 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Subiza to win (56%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Subiza 1–0 Cirbonero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Subiza56%fair 1.78 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.70
Cirbonero20%fair 5.02 · @5.75
2.57Expected goals
1.61Subiza xG
0.97Cirbonero xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Subiza 1.6 – 1.0 Cirbonero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✗
56%
1.78
1.48
Double chance
Subiza or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Subiza (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Cirbonero +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Subiza to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Recent results
Subiza – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cirbonero – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs San Juan
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Subiza and Cirbonero.
Our pick is Subiza to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Subiza vs Cirbonero?
On our numbers Subiza have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cirbonero 20%.
How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Cirbonero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Cirbonero?
Our predicted score is Subiza 1–0 Cirbonero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Subiza vs Cirbonero?
Subiza vs Cirbonero (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sotoburu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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