Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSubiza to win ✗52% · @1.95
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Bidezarra vs Subiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 19 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 brings Bidezarra against Subiza at Campo Bidezarra de Noain. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Bidezarra are 18th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 10 matches; Subiza are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Subiza, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Txantrea, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bidezarra 0.9 xG, Subiza 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bidezarra 22%, draw 26%, Subiza 52%.
Lower-risk option: Subiza or draw (78%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Subiza or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bidezarra 0–1 Subiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bidezarra22%fair 4.56 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Subiza52%fair 1.91 · @1.95
2.45Expected goals
0.93Bidezarra xG
1.53Subiza xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Bidezarra 0.9 – 1.5 Subiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Double chance
Subiza or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Subiza (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Bidezarra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Subiza to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.61
–
Recent results
Bidezarra – last 2
LD
28 Feb
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Ardoi
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Subiza – last 4
DLDW
15 Mar
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Cirbonero
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidezarra and Subiza.
Our pick is Subiza or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Subiza?
On our numbers Bidezarra have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Subiza 52%.
How many goals will there be in Bidezarra vs Subiza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidezarra vs Subiza?
Our predicted score is Bidezarra 0–1 Subiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bidezarra vs Subiza?
Bidezarra vs Subiza (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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