Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.23
Ardoi vs Valle Egüés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Ardoi v Valle Egüés in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15, played at Estadio El Pinar 1.
Current form
Ardoi, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Huarte, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ardoi 1.6 xG, Valle Egüés 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ardoi 43%, draw 24%, Valle Egüés 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ardoi 2–1 Valle Egüés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ardoi43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
Valle Egüés34%fair 2.97 · @2.88
3.00Expected goals
1.59Ardoi xG
1.40Valle Egüés xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Ardoi 1.6 – 1.4 Valle Egüés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ardoi to win
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Ardoi (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Valle Egüés +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Ardoi to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ardoi / FT Ardoi
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Ardoi – last 5
WDDDD
19 Mar
@ Huarte
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Oberena
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Izarra
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Bidezarra
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Valle Egüés – last 2
WD
27 Feb
vs Huarte
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Cortes
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ardoi and Valle Egüés.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ardoi vs Valle Egüés?
On our numbers Ardoi have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valle Egüés 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ardoi vs Valle Egüés?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ardoi vs Valle Egüés?
Our predicted score is Ardoi 2–1 Valle Egüés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ardoi vs Valle Egüés?
Ardoi vs Valle Egüés (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Pinar 1.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
