Value bet: Izarra to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIzarra to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Subiza vs Izarra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 brings Subiza against Izarra at Estadio Sotoburu. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Subiza are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 10 matches; Izarra are 1st (leading the league) with 26.
Current form
Subiza, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bidezarra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Subiza 1.2 xG, Izarra 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Subiza 34%, draw 24%, Izarra 42%.
Price worth noting: Izarra to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Subiza 1–1 Izarra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Subiza34%fair 2.92 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Izarra42%fair 2.40 · @2.90
2.84Expected goals
1.25Subiza xG
1.60Izarra xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Subiza 1.2 – 1.6 Izarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Izarra to win✗
42%
2.40
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Izarra (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Subiza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Izarra to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Izarra / FT Izarra✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Subiza – last 5
LDLDW
19 Mar
@ Bidezarra
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Cirbonero
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Izarra – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Ardoi
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Beti Kozkor
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Subiza and Izarra.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Subiza vs Izarra?
On our numbers Subiza have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Izarra 42%.
How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Izarra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Izarra?
Our predicted score is Subiza 1–1 Izarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Subiza vs Izarra?
Subiza vs Izarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sotoburu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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