Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultSubiza to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.77
Oberena vs Subiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oberena welcome Subiza to Estadio Oberena for a Tercera División RFEF Group 15 fixture on Sunday 5 April (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Oberena, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ardoi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Subiza, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Izarra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Subiza, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Oberena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oberena 0.7 xG, Subiza 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oberena 15%, draw 24%, Subiza 61%.
Lower-risk option: Subiza or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Subiza to win (61%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oberena 0–1 Subiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oberena15%fair 6.78 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Subiza61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
2.46Expected goals
0.73Oberena xG
1.73Subiza xG
43%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Oberena 0.7 – 1.7 Subiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✓
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Subiza or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Subiza (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Subiza -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Subiza to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Subiza ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.77
–
Recent results
Oberena – last 3
DLL
8 Mar
vs Ardoi
2–2
D
4 Mar
@ Beti Kozkor
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs Peña Sport
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Subiza – last 6
DLDLDW
29 Mar
vs Izarra
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ Bidezarra
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Cirbonero
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oberena and Subiza.
Our pick is Subiza to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Oberena vs Subiza?
On our numbers Oberena have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Subiza 61%.
How many goals will there be in Oberena vs Subiza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oberena vs Subiza?
Our predicted score is Oberena 0–1 Subiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oberena vs Subiza?
Oberena vs Subiza (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Oberena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
