Value bet: Sonseca to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSonseca to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Sonseca vs Cazalegas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sonseca welcome Cazalegas to Estadio Martín Juanes for a Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixture on Sunday 22 February (16:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sonseca 1.5 xG, Cazalegas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sonseca 40%, draw 25%, Cazalegas 35%.
Price worth noting: Sonseca to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sonseca 1–1 Cazalegas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sonseca40%fair 2.49 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
Cazalegas35%fair 2.86 · @2.25
2.64Expected goals
1.47Sonseca xG
1.17Cazalegas xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sonseca 1.5 – 1.2 Cazalegas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sonseca to win✓
40%
2.49
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Sonseca (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Cazalegas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sonseca to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sonseca / FT Sonseca✓
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Sonseca – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ San Clemente
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cazalegas – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Huracán Balazote
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sonseca and Cazalegas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sonseca vs Cazalegas?
On our numbers Sonseca have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cazalegas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sonseca vs Cazalegas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sonseca vs Cazalegas?
Our predicted score is Sonseca 1–1 Cazalegas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sonseca vs Cazalegas?
Sonseca vs Cazalegas (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martín Juanes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
