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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sonseca v Toledo: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain · Estadio Martín Juanes
1–1
FT
Sonseca 13%Draw 19%Toledo 68% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.95
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultToledo to win ✗68% · @1.18
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 13.63

Sonseca vs Toledo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 March the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 brings Sonseca against Toledo at Estadio Martín Juanes. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Sonseca, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Calvo Sotelo, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Toledo, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Cazalegas, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Toledo, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sonseca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sonseca 0.9 xG, Toledo 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sonseca 13%, draw 19%, Toledo 68%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sonseca 1–2 Toledo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sonseca13%fair 7.65 · @11.00
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @5.75
Toledo68%fair 1.48 · @1.18
2.82Expected goals
0.87Sonseca xG
1.95Toledo xG
47%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Sonseca 0.9 – 1.9 Toledo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToledo to win ✗68%1.481.18
Double chanceToledo or draw ✓87%1.151.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betToledo (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapToledo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreToledo to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultToledo ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toledo / FT Toledo ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7%13.63–

Recent results

Sonseca – last 3

LWD
1 Mar@ Calvo Sotelo1–3L
22 Febvs Cazalegas3–0W
15 Feb@ San Clemente2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Toledo – last 3

WWW
1 Marvs Cazalegas6–0W
22 Feb@ Huracán Balazote1–0W
15 Febvs Guadalajara II1–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sonseca and Toledo.

Sonseca vs Toledo head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchego10802+1024
2Toledo10712+1222
3Villacañas10532+918
4CD Villa10604+218
5Villarrobledo10451+617
6Illescas10523+117
7Tarancón10433+315
8San Clemente10433+115
9Noblejas10424-114
10Torrijos10424-114
11Villarrubia10343-113
12Almansa10334+212
13Marchamalo10334-212
14La Solana10406-212
15Socuéllamos10244-210
16Huracán Balazote10217-147
17Quintanar del Rey10136-86
18Guadalajara II10037-153

More Tercera División RFEF Group 18 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sonseca vs Toledo?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Sonseca vs Toledo?

On our numbers Sonseca have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toledo 68%.

How many goals will there be in Sonseca vs Toledo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sonseca vs Toledo?

Our predicted score is Sonseca 1–2 Toledo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sonseca vs Toledo?

Sonseca vs Toledo (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martín Juanes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.