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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cazalegas v Illescas: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · Spain · Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación
0–1
FT
Cazalegas 23%Draw 25%Illescas 52% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.40
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultIllescas to win ✓52% · @1.57
Double chanceIllescas or draw ✓77% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.68

Cazalegas vs Illescas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Illescas travel to face Cazalegas on Sunday 5 April in the Tercera División RFEF Group 18, with Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Cazalegas, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Villarrobledo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Illescas, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marchamalo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cazalegas 1.0 xG, Illescas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cazalegas 23%, draw 25%, Illescas 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cazalegas 0–1 Illescas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cazalegas23%fair 4.35 · @5.40
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Illescas52%fair 1.93 · @1.57
2.37Expected goals
0.98Cazalegas xG
1.40Illescas xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Cazalegas 1.0 – 1.4 Illescas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIllescas to win ✓52%1.931.57
Double chanceIllescas or draw ✓77%1.301.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betIllescas (draw no bet) ✓69%1.44–
Asian handicapCazalegas +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreIllescas to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Illescas / FT Illescas ✓27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13%7.68–

Recent results

Cazalegas – last 5

LWLLD
22 Marvs Villarrobledo0–2L
8 Marvs La Solana2–1W
1 Mar@ Toledo0–6L
22 Feb@ Sonseca0–3L
15 Febvs Huracán Balazote1–1D
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Illescas – last 4

WDLL
15 Marvs Marchamalo2–1W
1 Marvs Villarrubia0–0D
21 Feb@ Tarancón1–2L
15 Febvs Pedroñeras0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cazalegas and Illescas.

Cazalegas vs Illescas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchego10802+1024
2Toledo10712+1222
3Villacañas10532+918
4CD Villa10604+218
5Villarrobledo10451+617
6Illescas10523+117
7Tarancón10433+315
8San Clemente10433+115
9Noblejas10424-114
10Torrijos10424-114
11Villarrubia10343-113
12Almansa10334+212
13Marchamalo10334-212
14La Solana10406-212
15Socuéllamos10244-210
16Huracán Balazote10217-147
17Quintanar del Rey10136-86
18Guadalajara II10037-153

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cazalegas vs Illescas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Cazalegas vs Illescas?

On our numbers Cazalegas have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Illescas 52%.

How many goals will there be in Cazalegas vs Illescas?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cazalegas vs Illescas?

Our predicted score is Cazalegas 0–1 Illescas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cazalegas vs Illescas?

Cazalegas vs Illescas (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva Ebora Formación.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.