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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aris Petroupolis v Diagoras: numbers & prediction

Aris Petroupolis 46%Draw 28%Diagoras 26% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.01
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultAris Petroupolis to win ✗46% · @1.83
Double chanceAris Petroupolis or draw ✗74% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54

Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aris Petroupolis welcome Diagoras for a Gamma Ethniki Group 5 fixture on Sunday 22 February (14:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aris Petroupolis 1.1 xG, Diagoras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aris Petroupolis 46%, draw 28%, Diagoras 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aris Petroupolis or draw (74%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris Petroupolis 1–1 Diagoras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aris Petroupolis46%fair 2.18 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Diagoras26%fair 3.78 · @4.00
2.15Expected goals
1.14Aris Petroupolis xG
1.01Diagoras xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Aris Petroupolis 1.1 – 1.0 Diagoras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAris Petroupolis to win ✗46%2.181.83
Double chanceAris Petroupolis or draw ✗74%1.361.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betAris Petroupolis (draw no bet) ✗63%1.58–
Asian handicapDiagoras +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreAris Petroupolis to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aris Petroupolis / FT Aris Petroupolis ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.54–

Recent results

Aris Petroupolis – last 1

W
14 Feb@ Apollon Kalyt.1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Diagoras – last 1

W
15 Febvs Amarynthiakos3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aris Petroupolis and Diagoras.

Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?

On our numbers Aris Petroupolis have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Diagoras 26%.

How many goals will there be in Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?

Our predicted score is Aris Petroupolis 1–1 Diagoras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?

Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras (Gamma Ethniki Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.