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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mingəçevir v Zaqatala: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
Mingəçevir 56%Draw 24%Zaqatala 20% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.04
56%
Betarazi pick

Mingəçevir to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMingəçevir to win ✗56% · @1.67
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 17.62

Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mingəçevir welcome Zaqatala for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Friday 13 February (11:30 WAT). In the table, Mingəçevir are 9th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 6 matches; Zaqatala are 8th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mingəçevir 1.8 xG, Zaqatala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mingəçevir 56%, draw 24%, Zaqatala 20%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mingəçevir to win (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mingəçevir 1–0 Zaqatala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mingəçevir56%fair 1.80 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.35
Zaqatala20%fair 4.89 · @4.60
2.84Expected goals
1.80Mingəçevir xG
1.04Zaqatala xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%

From our goals model: Mingəçevir 1.8 – 1.0 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMingəçevir to win ✗56%1.801.67
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✓80%1.261.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Draw no betMingəçevir (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapZaqatala +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreMingəçevir to score first ✗60%1.68–
Half-time resultMingəçevir ahead at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mingəçevir / FT Mingəçevir ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%17.62–

Recent results

Mingəçevir

No recent results on record.

Zaqatala

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mingəçevir and Zaqatala.

Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

Our pick is Mingəçevir to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

On our numbers Mingəçevir have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zaqatala 20%.

How many goals will there be in Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

Our predicted score is Mingəçevir 1–0 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala?

Mingəçevir vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.