Difai Ağsu 18%Draw 21%Safa Baku 61%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.97
61%
Betarazi pick
Safa Baku to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSafa Baku to win ✓61% · @1.36
Double chanceSafa Baku or draw ✓82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 25 February the Birinci Dasta brings Difai Ağsu against Safa Baku. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Difai Ağsu 1.1 xG, Safa Baku 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Difai Ağsu 18%, draw 21%, Safa Baku 61%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Safa Baku to win (61%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Difai Ağsu 1–2 Safa Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Difai Ağsu18%fair 5.53 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.33
Safa Baku61%fair 1.64 · @1.36
3.03Expected goals
1.06Difai Ağsu xG
1.97Safa Baku xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 1.1 – 2.0 Safa Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Safa Baku to win✓
61%
1.64
1.36
Double chance
Safa Baku or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Safa Baku (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Difai Ağsu +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Safa Baku to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Safa Baku ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Safa Baku / FT Safa Baku✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Difai Ağsu – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Şimal
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Safa Baku – last 1
D
19 Feb
vs Mingəçevir
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Safa Baku.
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
Our pick is Safa Baku to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Safa Baku 61%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 1–2 Safa Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Şahdağ1
Zaqatala0