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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cəbrayıl v Zaqatala: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
1–0
FT
Cəbrayıl 49%Draw 21%Zaqatala 31% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.28
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1

Value bet: Cəbrayıl to win @ 2.75 – our chance 49% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCəbrayıl to win ✓49% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zaqatala travel to face Cəbrayıl on Friday 13 March in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Cəbrayıl are 1st, leading the league, on 16 points after 7 matches; Zaqatala are 8th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Cəbrayıl, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Səbail, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Zaqatala, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Şimal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Zaqatala, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Cəbrayıl.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cəbrayıl 2.3 xG, Zaqatala 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cəbrayıl 49%, draw 21%, Zaqatala 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Cəbrayıl to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cəbrayıl 2–1 Zaqatala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cəbrayıl49%fair 2.05 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.25
Zaqatala31%fair 3.28 · @2.25
3.58Expected goals
2.30Cəbrayıl xG
1.28Zaqatala xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cəbrayıl 2.3 – 1.3 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCəbrayıl to win ✓49%2.052.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.73 ▲
Draw no betCəbrayıl (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapCəbrayıl -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreCəbrayıl to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultCəbrayıl ahead at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cəbrayıl / FT Cəbrayıl ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Cəbrayıl – last 3

LLL
6 Marvs Səbail1–4L
24 Feb@ Şimal2–3L
18 Febvs Baku Sportinq1–2L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Zaqatala – last 4

LLWD
5 Marvs Şimal3–4L
25 Feb@ Şahdağ0–1L
19 Febvs Difai Ağsu2–1W
13 Feb@ Mingəçevir0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cəbrayıl and Zaqatala.

Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala?

On our numbers Cəbrayıl have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zaqatala 31%.

How many goals will there be in Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala?

Our predicted score is Cəbrayıl 2–1 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala?

Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.