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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Şimal v Zaqatala: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan

Şimal

LWWLL
0–0
FT
Şimal 29%Draw 21%Zaqatala 50% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.66
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultZaqatala to win ✗50% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.45

Şimal vs Zaqatala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Şimal welcome Zaqatala for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 19 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Zaqatala are 8th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Şimal, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Safa Baku, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Zaqatala, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cəbrayıl, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Zaqatala 3–4 Şimal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.7 xG, Zaqatala 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 29%, draw 21%, Zaqatala 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 1–1 Zaqatala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Şimal29%fair 3.45 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.20
Zaqatala50%fair 2.00 · @1.40
3.39Expected goals
1.73Şimal xG
1.66Zaqatala xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Şimal 1.7 – 1.7 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaqatala to win ✗50%2.001.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.85 ▲
Draw no betZaqatala (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapZaqatala +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreŞimal to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Şimal / FT Şimal ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.45–

Recent results

Şimal – last 5

LWWLL
11 Marvs Safa Baku0–2L
5 Mar@ Zaqatala4–3W
24 Febvs Cəbrayıl3–2W
19 Febvs Şahdağ0–1L
13 Feb@ Difai Ağsu1–3L
1.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Zaqatala – last 5

LLLWD
13 Mar@ Cəbrayıl0–1L
5 Marvs Şimal3–4L
25 Feb@ Şahdağ0–1L
19 Febvs Difai Ağsu2–1W
13 Feb@ Mingəçevir0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Zaqatala v Şimal3–4
Şimal vs Zaqatala head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şimal vs Zaqatala?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Şimal vs Zaqatala?

On our numbers Şimal have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zaqatala 50%.

How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Zaqatala?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Zaqatala?

Our predicted score is Şimal 1–1 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Şimal vs Zaqatala?

Şimal vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.