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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Şahdağ v Şimal: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
1–0
FT

Şimal

DLWWL
Şahdağ 72%Draw 17%Şimal 10% Expected goals 2.64 – 0.78
72%
Betarazi pick

Şahdağ to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultŞahdağ to win ✓72% · @1.44
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62% · @1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.93

Şahdağ vs Şimal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 3 April the Birinci Dasta brings Şahdağ against Şimal. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Şahdağ are 2nd, among the top four, on 15 points after 6 matches; Şimal are 6th (lower half) with 8.

Current form

Şahdağ, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Safa Baku, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Şimal, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zaqatala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Feb 2026) it ended Şimal 0–1 Şahdağ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Şahdağ 2.6 xG, Şimal 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 46% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Şahdağ 72%, draw 17%, Şimal 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Şahdağ to win (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şahdağ 2–0 Şimal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Şahdağ72%fair 1.39 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.20
Şimal10%fair 9.64 · @5.50
3.42Expected goals
2.64Şahdağ xG
0.78Şimal xG
46%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Şahdağ 2.6 – 0.8 Şimal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultŞahdağ to win ✓72%1.391.44
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓90%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betŞahdağ (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapŞahdağ -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreŞahdağ to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultŞahdağ ahead at half-time ✓57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ ✓53%1.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.93–

Recent results

Şahdağ – last 5

LDLWW
18 Mar@ Safa Baku0–1L
12 Marvs MOIK1–1D
5 Mar@ Safa Baku1–2L
25 Febvs Zaqatala1–0W
19 Feb@ Şimal1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Şimal – last 6

DLWWLL
19 Marvs Zaqatala0–0D
11 Marvs Safa Baku0–2L
5 Mar@ Zaqatala4–3W
24 Febvs Cəbrayıl3–2W
19 Febvs Şahdağ0–1L
13 Feb@ Difai Ağsu1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Feb 2026Şimal v Şahdağ0–1
Şahdağ vs Şimal head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şahdağ vs Şimal?

Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Şahdağ vs Şimal?

On our numbers Şahdağ have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Şimal 10%.

How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Şimal?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Şimal?

Our predicted score is Şahdağ 2–0 Şimal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Şahdağ vs Şimal?

Şahdağ vs Şimal (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.