Səbail v Baku Sportinq: numbers & prediction

Səbail vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Səbail v Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta, played at ASCO Arena. In the table, Səbail are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Current form

Səbail, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with MOIK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Baku Sportinq, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mingəçevir, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Səbail 0–0 Baku Sportinq.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Səbail 1.8 xG, Baku Sportinq 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Səbail 60%, draw 23%, Baku Sportinq 17%.
• Lower-risk option: Səbail or draw (83%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.