Value bet: MOIK to win @ 4.25 – our chance 31% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaku Sportinq to win ✓46% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Baku Sportinq v MOIK in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Baku Sportinq are 10th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 7 matches; MOIK are 3rd (among the top four) with 14. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baku Sportinq, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Səbail, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
MOIK, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cəbrayıl, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours MOIK, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Baku Sportinq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baku Sportinq 1.4 xG, MOIK 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baku Sportinq 46%, draw 23%, MOIK 31%.
Price worth noting: MOIK to win @4.25 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baku Sportinq 1–1 MOIK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baku Sportinq46%fair 2.18 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.55
MOIK31%fair 3.26 · @4.25
2.84Expected goals
1.42Baku Sportinq xG
1.42MOIK xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 1.4 – 1.4 MOIK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baku Sportinq to win✓
46%
2.18
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.19
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Baku Sportinq (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Baku Sportinq +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
MOIK to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MOIK / FT MOIK✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Baku Sportinq – last 6
LDWLDW
2 Apr
@ Səbail
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Difai Ağsu
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Mingəçevir
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Səbail
0–0
D
18 Feb
@ Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MOIK – last 6
WDDWLW
2 Apr
vs Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Səbail
2–2
D
12 Mar
@ Şahdağ
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Difai Ağsu
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Mingəçevir
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Səbail
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baku Sportinq and MOIK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and MOIK 31%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 1–1 MOIK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
