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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cəbrayıl v Mingəçevir: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
2–1
FT
Cəbrayıl 34%Draw 21%Mingəçevir 45% Expected goals 1.78 – 1.43
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultMingəçevir to win ✗45% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.60

Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mingəçevir travel to face Cəbrayıl on Wednesday 22 April in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Cəbrayıl are 1st, leading the league, on 16 points after 7 matches; Mingəçevir are 9th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cəbrayıl, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Şahdağ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Mingəçevir, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Difai Ağsu, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Mingəçevir, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Cəbrayıl.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cəbrayıl 1.8 xG, Mingəçevir 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cəbrayıl 34%, draw 21%, Mingəçevir 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cəbrayıl 2–1 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cəbrayıl34%fair 2.94 · @5.25
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Mingəçevir45%fair 2.22 · @1.48
3.20Expected goals
1.78Cəbrayıl xG
1.43Mingəçevir xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Cəbrayıl 1.8 – 1.4 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMingəçevir to win ✗45%2.221.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.87–
Draw no betMingəçevir (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapMingəçevir +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreCəbrayıl to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cəbrayıl / FT Cəbrayıl ✓28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.60–

Recent results

Cəbrayıl – last 6

DWLDWL
15 Apr@ Şahdağ0–0D
8 Aprvs Zaqatala3–2W
2 Apr@ MOIK1–2L
19 Mar@ Difai Ağsu1–1D
13 Marvs Zaqatala1–0W
6 Marvs Səbail1–4L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mingəçevir – last 6

WWWDLW
16 Aprvs Difai Ağsu2–1W
9 Apr@ Şimal3–0W
3 Aprvs Safa Baku5–2W
18 Mar@ Baku Sportinq1–1D
12 Marvs Səbail0–1L
5 Mar@ Baku Sportinq1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cəbrayıl and Mingəçevir.

Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?

On our numbers Cəbrayıl have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mingəçevir 45%.

How many goals will there be in Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?

Our predicted score is Cəbrayıl 2–1 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?

Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.