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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cəbrayıl v Baku Sportinq: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
2–3
FT
Cəbrayıl 36%Draw 20%Baku Sportinq 44% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.32
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBaku Sportinq to win ✓44% · @1.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.49

Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 7 May the Birinci Dasta brings Cəbrayıl against Baku Sportinq. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Cəbrayıl are 1st, leading the league, on 16 points after 7 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cəbrayıl, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Səbail, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Baku Sportinq, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Difai Ağsu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Cəbrayıl 1–2 Baku Sportinq.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cəbrayıl 1.8 xG, Baku Sportinq 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cəbrayıl 36%, draw 20%, Baku Sportinq 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cəbrayıl 1–1 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cəbrayıl36%fair 2.80 · @5.10
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.70
Baku Sportinq44%fair 2.27 · @1.52
3.13Expected goals
1.81Cəbrayıl xG
1.32Baku Sportinq xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cəbrayıl 1.8 – 1.3 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBaku Sportinq to win ✓44%2.271.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betBaku Sportinq (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapBaku Sportinq +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.13
First team to scoreCəbrayıl to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cəbrayıl / FT Cəbrayıl ✗30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.49–

Recent results

Cəbrayıl – last 6

LWDWLD
30 Apr@ Səbail0–6L
22 Aprvs Mingəçevir2–1W
15 Apr@ Şahdağ0–0D
8 Aprvs Zaqatala3–2W
2 Apr@ MOIK1–2L
19 Mar@ Difai Ağsu1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Baku Sportinq – last 6

DLDWLD
30 Aprvs Difai Ağsu1–1D
23 Apr@ Şimal0–1L
16 Aprvs Safa Baku0–0D
8 Aprvs MOIK3–1W
2 Apr@ Səbail0–1L
18 Marvs Mingəçevir1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Cəbrayıl v Baku Sportinq1–2
Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?

On our numbers Cəbrayıl have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baku Sportinq 44%.

How many goals will there be in Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?

Our predicted score is Cəbrayıl 1–1 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?

Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.