MOIK 56%Draw 23%Difai Ağsu 20%Expected goals 1.99 – 1.10
80%
Betarazi pick
MOIK or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: MOIK to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMOIK to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceMOIK or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
MOIK vs Difai Ağsu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Difai Ağsu travel to face MOIK on Thursday 21 May in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
MOIK, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şimal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Difai Ağsu, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Şimal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended MOIK 2–1 Difai Ağsu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MOIK 2.0 xG, Difai Ağsu 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MOIK 56%, draw 23%, Difai Ağsu 20%.
Lower-risk option: MOIK or draw (80%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: MOIK to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was MOIK or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: MOIK 1–1 Difai Ağsu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MOIK56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Difai Ağsu20%fair 4.88 · @3.40
3.09Expected goals
1.99MOIK xG
1.10Difai Ağsu xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: MOIK 2.0 – 1.1 Difai Ağsu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MOIK or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win MOIK vs Difai Ağsu?
On our numbers MOIK have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Difai Ağsu 20%.
How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Difai Ağsu?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Difai Ağsu?
Our predicted score is MOIK 1–1 Difai Ağsu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is MOIK vs Difai Ağsu?
MOIK vs Difai Ağsu (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
