Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33
L'Aquila vs Notaresco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Notaresco travel to face L'Aquila on Thursday 2 April in the Serie D Girone F – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, L'Aquila are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Notaresco are 8th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
L'Aquila, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fossombrone, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Notaresco, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Teramo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Notaresco, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for L'Aquila.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give L'Aquila 1.5 xG, Notaresco 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – L'Aquila 45%, draw 26%, Notaresco 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: L'Aquila 1–1 Notaresco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
L'Aquila45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Notaresco29%fair 3.43 · @3.40
2.64Expected goals
1.50L'Aquila xG
1.14Notaresco xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: L'Aquila 1.5 – 1.1 Notaresco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
L'Aquila to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
L'Aquila (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Notaresco +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
L'Aquila to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.33
–
Recent results
L'Aquila – last 5
LLDLD
29 Mar
@ Fossombrone
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Teramo
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vigor Senigallia
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Sora
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Real Giulianova
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Notaresco – last 6
LWWDLD
29 Mar
@ Teramo
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Sammaurese
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sora
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Fossombrone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Maceratese
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Notaresco.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Notaresco 29%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
Our predicted score is L'Aquila 1–1 Notaresco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is L'Aquila vs Notaresco?
L'Aquila vs Notaresco (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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