Spezia U19 v Perugia U19 Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSpezia U19 to win43% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · fair 1.89

GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.87

Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spezia U19 welcome Perugia U19 for a Campionato Primavera 2 fixture on Saturday 11 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Spezia U19 are 11th, upper half, on 10 points after 8 matches; Perugia U19 are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.

Current form

Spezia U19, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pescara U19, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spezia U19 1.3 xG, Perugia U19 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Spezia U19 43%, draw 23%, Perugia U19 35%.
Price worth noting: Perugia U19 to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spezia U19 1–2 Perugia U19. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spezia U1943%fair 2.34 · @1.90

Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50

Perugia U1935%fair 2.89 · @3.30

2.82Expected goals

1.32Spezia U19 xG

1.50Perugia U19 xG

53%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Spezia U19 1.3 – 1.5 Perugia U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Spezia U19 to win	43%	2.34	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win	77%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	53%	1.89	–
Draw no bet	Spezia U19 (draw no bet)	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Spezia U19 +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.88	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	84%	1.18	–
First team to score	Perugia U19 to score first	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Perugia U19 / FT Perugia U19	25%	4.06	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	8%	12.87	–

Spezia U19 – last 6

DDWWLW

4 Apr	@ Pescara U19	1–1	D
12 Mar	vs Westchester United U18	0–0	D
7 Mar	vs Salernitana U19	4–0	W
28 Feb	vs Cosenza U19	3–2	W
21 Feb	@ Catanzaro U19	0–1	L
14 Feb	vs Ascoli U19	4–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Perugia U19 – last 1

22 Feb

@ Avellino U19

0–2

0.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Renate U19	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Venezia U19	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Sampdoria U19	8	4	3	1	+10	15
4	Cremonese U19	8	5	0	3	+6	15
5	Vicenza U19	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Lecco U19	8	4	2	2	-2	14
7	Virtus Entella U19	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Udinese U19	8	4	0	4	-1	12
9	Padova U19	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Brescia U19	8	2	3	3	-5	9
11	Modena U19	8	2	2	4	0	8
12	Mantova U19	8	1	5	2	-4	8
13	Pro Vercelli U19	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Cittadella U19	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	Sudtirol U19	8	0	4	4	-6	4
16	Reggiana U19	8	0	2	6	-10	2
1	Catanzaro U19	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Benevento U19	8	6	1	1	+14	19
3	Perugia U19	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Palermo U19	8	4	4	0	+5	16
5	Bari U19	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Avellino U19	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Monopoli U19	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Latina U19	8	3	2	3	+3	11
9	Pescara U19	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Napoli U19	8	2	4	2	0	10
11	Spezia U19	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Pisa U19	8	2	1	5	-3	7
13	Frosinone U19	8	1	2	5	-15	5
14	Cosenza U19	8	1	1	6	-12	4
15	Ascoli U19	8	0	3	5	-10	3
16	Salernitana U19	8	0	2	6	-19	2

Team

Pts

+10

-2

-1

-1

-5

-4

-5

-5

-6

-10

+13

+14

+15

-2

-3

-15

-12

-10

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19?

On our numbers Spezia U19 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Perugia U19 35%.

How many goals will there be in Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19?

Our predicted score is Spezia U19 1–2 Perugia U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19?

Spezia U19 vs Perugia U19 (Campionato Primavera 2) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Spezia U19 v Perugia U19: numbers & prediction