Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
07:00 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Melbourne Victory v Brisbane Roar in the A League, played at AAMI Park. In the table, Melbourne Victory are 9th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Brisbane Roar are 3rd (among the top four) with 7.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne Victory 1.7 xG, Brisbane Roar 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne Victory 56%, draw 24%, Brisbane Roar 19%.
Lower-risk option: Melbourne Victory or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne Victory 1–1 Brisbane Roar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Melbourne Victory56%fair 1.78 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.85
Brisbane Roar19%fair 5.15 · @5.10
2.77Expected goals
1.75Melbourne Victory xG
1.02Brisbane Roar xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory 1.7 – 1.0 Brisbane Roar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win✗
56%
1.78
1.63
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Melbourne Victory (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane Roar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Melbourne Victory to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Melbourne Victory
No recent results on record.
Brisbane Roar
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brisbane Roar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 1–1 Brisbane Roar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar (A League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
