Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Newcastle Jets v Macarthur in the A League, played at McDonald Jones Stadium. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 10th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Macarthur are 7th (lower half) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 1.8 xG, Macarthur 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 47%, draw 22%, Macarthur 32%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 1–1 Macarthur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle Jets47%fair 2.14 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.10
Macarthur32%fair 3.17 · @3.35
3.42Expected goals
1.77Newcastle Jets xG
1.65Macarthur xG
71%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 1.6 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✓
47%
2.14
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Draw no bet
Newcastle Jets (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Macarthur +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
First team to score
Newcastle Jets to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Newcastle Jets – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Macarthur – last 1
D
19 Feb
vs Bangkok United
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macarthur 32%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–1 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
