Value bet: Central Coast Mariners to win @ 4.20 – our chance 32% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗48% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newcastle Jets travel to face Central Coast Mariners on Saturday 28 February in the A League, with polytec Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Central Coast Mariners are 11th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Newcastle Jets are 10th (in the drop zone) with 2. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Central Coast Mariners 1.8 xG, Newcastle Jets 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Central Coast Mariners 32%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets 48%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Central Coast Mariners to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Coast Mariners 1–2 Newcastle Jets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Central Coast Mariners32%fair 3.14 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.30
Newcastle Jets48%fair 2.08 · @1.68
3.64Expected goals
1.78Central Coast Mariners xG
1.86Newcastle Jets xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Central Coast Mariners 1.8 – 1.9 Newcastle Jets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✗
48%
2.08
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Draw no bet
Newcastle Jets (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Central Coast Mariners +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
First team to score
Newcastle Jets to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Central Coast Mariners – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Newcastle Jets – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Macarthur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets.
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
On our numbers Central Coast Mariners have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle Jets 48%.
How many goals will there be in Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Our predicted score is Central Coast Mariners 1–2 Newcastle Jets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets?
Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets (A League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at polytec Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
